In a nutshell
- The Problem: Diseases that cause death and disability, such as yellow fever, measles, diptheria, tetanus, and pertussis. Further information on these diseases can be found here.
- The Program: Expanding immunization coverage for basic vaccines to reach more children in the developing world.
- Track record:. There's strong evidence that (a) the set of vaccines reviewed below provide protective immunity against the targeted diseases and (b) that vaccination delivery programs have succeeded when implemented across large geographic areas.
- Cost-effectiveness: Expanded vaccine coverage is among the most cost-effective programs we've considered. In Sub-Saharan Africa, available estimates claim that it costs approximately $14 to fully vaccinate a child and $200 to save a life with this program.
- Bottom line: This is a proven, cost-effective method for saving lives in the developing world.
Basics of the program
What is the program? What problem does it target?
Immunizations protect against childhood, communicable diseases, which can result in death and severe debilitation.
In this report we consider the nine vaccines that are recommended by the WHO for national use:
What are the components required to implement this program - how does it work?
The Expanded Immunization Program, the WHO's initiative to improve immunization coverage, focuses on the following four items:
- Standardizing immunization schedules
- Promoting safe injection technologies
- Improving the stocking and availability of vaccines
- Protecting vaccines' potency through cold chain management
How many doses of each vaccine should a child receive?
Some vaccines require only one dose while others require more. Here, we provide current WHO recommendations:
- DTP3: 3 doses
- BCG: 1 dose
- Measles: 2 doses
- Polio: 3 doses
- Yellow Fever: 1 dose
- Hepatitis B: 3 doses
- Haemophilus influenzae Type b (Hib): 3 doses
Program track record
Micro evidence: Has this program been rigorously evaluated and shown to work?
We have not reviewed the initial clinical trials for all the vaccines included below because they are well accepted in the medical community as effective. Below we provide brief quotes taken from the WHO's Vaccine Position Papers, with more context in the footnotes and links to the full papers.
Some of the quotes below use the term "seroconversion." Seroconversion refers the "the development of detectable antibodies in the blood directed against an infectious agent," a sign that an immunization is effective.
- DTP, for diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis: We present evidence for each vaccine individually.
- Diptheria: "95.5% protective efficacy among children.... Protection increased to 98.4% after 5 or more doses."
- Pertussis: "Despite major differences in the contents, mode of preparation and efficacy among both wP and aP vaccines, comprehensive clinical trials have demonstrated that the most efficacious vaccines of either category will protect 85% of the recipients from clinical disease"
- Tetanus: "efficacy and the effectiveness of tetanus toxoid are well documented. In most clinical trials, efficacy has ranged from 80% to 100%."
- BCG: "BCG ... provides protection against TB meningitis and the disseminated form of the disease in infants and young children. ... Thousands of lives have thus been saved through BCG vaccination over the years. The vaccine is relatively safe, inexpensive and requires only one injection."
- Measles:""In most developing countries, children are vaccinated against measles at 9 months of age, when seroconversion rates of 80–85% may be expected."
- Polio: "If IPV is administered in a WHO/EPI schedule (6, 10, 14 weeks of age), seroconversion to IPV has varied from 67% to 99% against type 1, 65% to 99% against type 2, and 91% to 100% against type 3."
- Yellow Fever:"Highly efficacious... following immunization, up to 99% of vaccines show protective levels of neutralizing antibodies, and the immunity is likely to last for decades."
- Hepatitis B: "The complete vaccine series induces protective antibody levels in >95% of infants, children and young adults."
- Haemophilus influenzae Type b (Hib): "Randomized controlled trials using different formulations in different population groups have demonstrated remarkably consistent efficacy."
Macro evidence: Has this program played a role in large-scale success stories?
Immunization coverage in the developing world has significantly increased this decade. (WHO data on immunization coverage by region or country is available on their website.) Millions Saved reports on the impact of two major programs that increased immunization coverage.
- Hib: There are two separate success stories, one in Chile and one in The Gambia.
- Chile: Chile's Ministry of Health introduced the Hib vaccine into the routine immunization program for babies in 1996. The incidence of Hib meningitis in Chile fell by 91 percent and that of pneumonia and other forms of Hib disease fell by 80 percent.
- Gambia: The Gambia began administering the vaccine routinely as part of the national immunization program in 1997. The number of children developing Hib meningitis dropped from 200 per 100,000 to 21 per 100,000 in the 12-month period after the start of routine immunization.
- Measles: In 1996, seven southern African countries implemented a strategy against measles consisting of routine immunization for babies at nine months, a nationwide campaign to provide an opportunity for immunization to all children aged 9 months to 14 years and campaigns addressing follow-up for young children every four to five years. Additionally, the countries organized surveillance for cases of measles. Between 1996 and 2000, the number of cases decreased from 60,000 to 117. The number of reported measles deaths fell from 166 to 0.
Recommendations and concerns
Do expert reviews of the comparative merits of interventions endorse this one?
- The Disease Control Priorities Report states, "Vaccination against childhood communicable diseases through the Expanded Program on Immunization (EPI) is one of the most cost-effective public health interventions available (UNICEF 2002;World Bank 1993)."
- The Copenhagen Consensus ranks "Expanded immunization coverage for children" as its 4th most cost-effective intervention.
- The Copenhagen Consensus disease paper, Jamison 2008, lists expanded immunization coverage as its 4th most cost-effective disease intervention.
What are the potential downsides of the intervention?
- Adverse reactions to the injection. Some portion of those immunized may have a reaction to the injection. The vaccines reviewed here are generally safe but those who receive them may present some, relatively mild, adverse reaction (see the notes on individual vaccines above).
- Potential for disease transmission from lack of needle safety. Needles used on individuals infected with a disease and then reused on others can significantly contribute to disease transmission.
Cost-effectiveness
The cost effectiveness of the program vary by region, delivery strategy and level of scale, as reported in the Disease Control Priorities Report.
The Disease Control Priorities Report estimates the following ranges of cost-effectiveness of a traditional immunization program (DTP, measles, polio, and BCG):
- Cost per fully immunized child: $14.21 (in Sub-Saharan Africa) to $24.12 (in Europe and Central Asia)
- Cost per death averted: $205 (in Sub-Saharan Africa) to $3,540 (in Europe and Central Asia)
- Cost per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY): $7 (in Sub-Saharan Africa) to $438 (in Latin America and the Caribbean). More on the DALY metric here.
Additional vaccines (such as those for yellow fever, Hib, and Hepatitis B) could increase the cost significantly (for example, close to $15 per immunized child in Sub-Saharan Africa), depending on the delivery strategy used and the specific vaccines administered.
The Disease Control Priorities Report breaks this down in more detail on page 403.
The measles program (described above) cost an estimated $26.4 million, with the average cost per immunized child at $1.10.
Sources
- Copenhagen Consensus 2008. Available at http://www.copenhagenconsensus.com/Default.aspx?ID=953, accessed 6/30/09
- Disease Control Priorities Project, Second Edition. 2006. Available for download online at http://dcp2.org/pubs/DCP, accessed 6/30/09
- Disease Control Priorities Project. "Chapter 4: Cost–Effective Strategies for the Excess Burden of Disease in Developing Countries." Available online at http://dcp2.org/pubs/DCP/4/, accessed 6/30/09
- Disease Control Priorities Project. "Ensuring Supplies of Drugs and Vaccines in Developing Countries Without Medicines, Patients Die Needlessly." Available online at http://dcp2.org/file/220/dcpp-drugsandvaccines-web.pdf, accessed 6/30/2009.
- Hill, Z., Kirkwood, B., Edmond, K."Family and community practices that promote child survival, growth and development: A REVIEW OF THE EVIDENCE." 2004. Available online at http://libdoc.who.int/publications/2004/9241591501.pdf, accessed 6/30/09
- Jamison, D., Jha, P., and Bloom, D. 2008. Copenhagen Consensus 2008 Challenge Paper: Diseases. Available online at http://www.copenhagenconsensus.com/Files/Filer/CC08/Papers/0%20Challenge..., accessed 6/30/09.
- Levine, Ruth. "Case 20: Preventing the Hib Disease in Chile and the Gambia." In Millions Saved: Proven Success in Global Health. Available online at http://www.cgdev.org/section/initiatives/_active/millionssaved/studies/c..., accessed 6/30/2009
- Levine, Ruth. "Case 17: Eliminating measles in southern Africa." In Millions Saved: Proven Success in Global Health. Available online at http://www.cgdev.org/section/initiatives/_active/millionssaved/studies/c..., accessed 6/30/09.
- UNICEF. "Expanding Immunization Coverage." Available online at http://www.unicef.org/immunization/index_coverage.html., accessed 6/30/2009.
- WHO. 2009. "WHO African Region: Ethiopia." Available online at http://www.who.int/countries/eth/areas/immunization/epi_logistics/en/ind...., accessed 6/30/09.
- WHO. 2009. "WHO African Region: Nigeria." Available online at http://www.who.int/countries/nga/areas/epi/en/index.html., accessed 6/30/09.
- WHO/Western Pacific Region. "Expanded Program on Immunization." http://www.wpro.who.int/sites/epi/., accessed 6/30/09.
- WHO Publication. Expanded Program on Immunizations. Available online at http://www.wpro.who.int/NR/rdonlyres/7837C08B-C153-470C-9307-A5AFA8C04AE...., accessed 6/30/09
- WHO Publication: Vaccine Position Papers. Available online at http://www.who.int/immunization/documents/positionpapers/en/index.html, accessed 6/30/09